Consultancy
Firm Expects Recovery & Stabilization In 2015
The
residential real estate market in the National Capital Region (NCR) slumped to
its worst performance in a decade, with sales plunging 43% in July-December
2014 compared with the same period the previous year, according to a report
prepared by consultancy firm Knight Frank India.
However,
while sales volumes were down to only 40,575 units in the second half of 2014
as against 71,421 in the corresponding period in 2013, prices rose by 3% on an
average. With sales down, the number of launches in NCR the country's biggest
real estate market--during the second half of 2014 declined by 24% to 73,143
units against 95,768 units in the same period of 2013.
Other key
markets in the country like Mumbai and Bengaluru performed much better compared
to NCR. In Mumbai, sales volume fell by 9% to 67,715 units. In Bengaluru, sales
were down only 3% at 55,701 units.
But even
in these cities, the number of launches declined sharply . In Mumbai, launches
were down 43% during the period, while in Bengaluru, it was down 13%.
Overall,
the sales volume in the top six cities--NCR, Mumbai, Bengaluru, Pune, Chennai
and Hyderabad declined by 17% to 2,34,930 units in the second half of 2014 and
new launches by 28% to 2,68,950 units.
But the
Knight Frank re port was optimistic of a turnaround in the first half of
2015.It predicted a 4% increase in the overall sales of residential units in
six cities in Jan-June 2015, compared with the same period last year.
However,
it will be a while before new launches pick up. It predicted a 4% decline
during the first half of 2015 against the same period in 2014 because of the
large unsold inventory .
Prices,
the report said, will rise in the first half of this year.Mumbai is likely to
witness the sharpest rise at 10%, followed by Bengaluru at 3% and NCR at 2%.
How the sector performs will depend a lot on the announcements in the Union
budget, Shishir Baijal, chairman and managing director of Knight Frank India,
said. “2014 has not been a great year for Indian real estate as stated in our
latest ... report, jointly developed with Ficci.“
However,
he added: “We expect 2015 to be the year of recovery and stabilization. The
current economic indicators look positive, though the real impact will only be
felt by the second half of this year. A surprise rate cut by RBI has marked the
beginning of the new year and going forward, the Make in India campaign, REITs,
FDI relaxation and smart cities, among others, augurs well for giving the
muchneeded boost to stakeholder sentiments.“
The good
news is that commercial real estate demand picked up substantially in the
second half of 2014.
Source: timeofindia
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